Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 43.827412 50.441051 57.331759 65.015319 73.312657 81.973476 91.667794
2024-10-13 34.621868 43.993897 54.326779 66.431916 80.097159 94.928308 112.125430
2024-10-20 28.073297 38.660859 50.864732 65.696650 82.974848 102.230525 125.079633
2024-10-27 22.603842 33.708259 47.066964 63.858771 83.970416 106.896811 134.629078
2024-11-03 20.443395 32.439012 47.346395 66.551815 90.010406 117.172943 150.458350
2024-11-10 18.259469 30.830028 46.956356 68.221709 94.671156 125.732069 164.236377
2024-11-17 15.389978 27.950284 44.660940 67.272181 95.950347 130.134824 173.023270
2024-11-24 12.956825 25.374754 42.513082 66.290770 97.010649 134.138937 181.234376
2024-12-01 11.257224 23.655814 41.348146 66.440671 99.377372 139.651944 191.206423
2024-12-08 9.805192 22.131234 40.310106 66.641793 101.722243 145.082014 201.049090
2024-12-15 8.667671 20.963314 39.670174 67.293736 104.588236 151.124460 211.629416
2024-12-22 7.287373 19.200807 38.018492 66.437660 105.394403 154.527774 218.928872
2024-12-29 6.519494 18.429498 37.813515 67.602126 108.910337 161.428688 230.681324
2025-01-05 5.867432 17.783975 37.748032 68.934768 112.646427 168.629633 242.854864
2025-01-12 4.883597 16.339642 36.311260 68.198804 113.522295 172.122995 250.363675
2025-01-19 3.838210 14.558922 34.177751 66.314933 112.731681 173.392294 255.018699
2025-01-26 3.667238 14.653485 35.153823 69.072139 118.363534 183.043146 270.333975
2025-02-02 3.351474 14.363593 35.446267 70.781084 122.535947 190.799092 283.269094
2025-02-09 2.704143 13.141206 34.030652 69.809377 122.899758 193.517960 289.757752
2025-02-16 2.147764 11.993943 32.645717 68.804909 123.157774 196.057169 295.992069
2025-02-23 1.793361 11.299033 32.024876 68.958339 125.041197 200.746636 304.999864
2025-03-02 1.490323 10.663283 31.460554 69.164192 126.977722 205.499180 314.095251
2025-03-09 1.265028 10.203969 31.196604 69.831435 129.573168 211.139714 324.359293